Incumbent Rep. Johnny Olszewski's dominant fundraising—$816,000 raised and $577,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus at 93% for Democrats in the MD-02 House race. Olszewski secured 58% against Republican Kim Klacik in 2024, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Democratic. The June 23 primaries feature low-profile Democratic challengers and a GOP field led by Klacik, unlikely to alter the general election dynamics given historical Democratic margins exceeding 58%. Scenarios like a major incumbent scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
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MD-02 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,466 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$458 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Johnny Olszewski's dominant fundraising—$816,000 raised and $577,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus at 93% for Democrats in the MD-02 House race. Olszewski secured 58% against Republican Kim Klacik in 2024, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Democratic. The June 23 primaries feature low-profile Democratic challengers and a GOP field led by Klacik, unlikely to alter the general election dynamics given historical Democratic margins exceeding 58%. Scenarios like a major incumbent scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$7,924Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Johnny Olszewski's dominant fundraising—$816,000 raised and $577,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus at 93% for Democrats in the MD-02 House race. Olszewski secured 58% against Republican Kim Klacik in 2024, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Democratic. The June 23 primaries feature low-profile Democratic challengers and a GOP field led by Klacik, unlikely to alter the general election dynamics given historical Democratic margins exceeding 58%. Scenarios like a major incumbent scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,924Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Johnny Olszewski's dominant fundraising—$816,000 raised and $577,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus at 93% for Democrats in the MD-02 House race. Olszewski secured 58% against Republican Kim Klacik in 2024, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic and Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe Democratic. The June 23 primaries feature low-profile Democratic challengers and a GOP field led by Klacik, unlikely to alter the general election dynamics given historical Democratic margins exceeding 58%. Scenarios like a major incumbent scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Republican midterm wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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