Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd Congressional District after his twin brother, incumbent Troy Nehls, opted not to seek reelection, winning the March 2026 primary with 75.7% of the vote against Rebecca Clark following an endorsement from President Donald Trump. The district's consistent Republican performance, including double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Nehls at 92.5% over Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott. Primary results and fundraising disparities have reinforced expectations of continuity in this solidly Republican seat. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in suburban Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd Congressional District after his twin brother, incumbent Troy Nehls, opted not to seek reelection, winning the March 2026 primary with 75.7% of the vote against Rebecca Clark following an endorsement from President Donald Trump. The district's consistent Republican performance, including double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Nehls at 92.5% over Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott. Primary results and fundraising disparities have reinforced expectations of continuity in this solidly Republican seat. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in suburban Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,537Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd Congressional District after his twin brother, incumbent Troy Nehls, opted not to seek reelection, winning the March 2026 primary with 75.7% of the vote against Rebecca Clark following an endorsement from President Donald Trump. The district's consistent Republican performance, including double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Nehls at 92.5% over Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott. Primary results and fundraising disparities have reinforced expectations of continuity in this solidly Republican seat. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in suburban Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,537Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 22nd Congressional District after his twin brother, incumbent Troy Nehls, opted not to seek reelection, winning the March 2026 primary with 75.7% of the vote against Rebecca Clark following an endorsement from President Donald Trump. The district's consistent Republican performance, including double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Nehls at 92.5% over Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott. Primary results and fundraising disparities have reinforced expectations of continuity in this solidly Republican seat. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues affecting the nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in suburban Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
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