Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
13%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,132 Vol.
81%
Republican Party
$1,912 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$7,044Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,044Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan