Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$35,358 Vol.
$35,358 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$35,358 Vol.
$35,358 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,690 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$18,668 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,358Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,358Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan