Incumbent Karen Bass secured the most votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor, while progressive City Councilmember Nithya Raman overtook Republican challenger Spencer Pratt in the slow mail-ballot count that continued through the following week. Late-arriving Democratic ballots shifted the second-place position, prompting media projections that Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Trader consensus at 100% for this pairing reflects the near-certainty of these results under California's top-two system, where no candidate achieved a majority. An outright primary winner remains improbable at under 1%, as the race stayed fragmented among more than a dozen candidates. Late-breaking legal or counting disputes represent the main remaining variables that could still affect final certification.