Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a strong position in Ohio’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by superior fundraising that has produced over $4.6 million raised compared with Republican challenger Eric Conroy’s $1.5 million. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic, consistent with Landsman’s 2024 victory margin and recent polling that shows him narrowly ahead. Broader midterm dynamics, including Democratic advantages on the generic congressional ballot and stronger early voting turnout in Ohio, reinforce trader expectations of an incumbent hold. Conroy, an Air Force veteran and former CIA officer, benefits from Republican primary strength and national party interest in the seat, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that leans Democratic in House races despite its presidential voting patterns.