Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a strong position in Ohio’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring him over Republican challenger Eric Conroy. Landsman benefits from incumbency, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.6 million raised with over $3.6 million cash on hand, and established constituent ties across Cincinnati and surrounding areas. The district, redrawn in 2025 to include more Republican-leaning Warren and Clinton counties, still rates as lean Democratic in most forecasts following Landsman’s 2024 reelection. Recent polling shows him ahead by low-single digits, while Conroy, a former CIA case officer and Air Force veteran with Trump endorsement, trails despite Republican targeting of the seat. Early voting began October 6 with no major late shifts reported.