Russian forces have made incremental advances near Chasiv Yar in Donetsk Oblast over the past month, but Stinky—a small rural settlement (48.58°N, 37.74°E) under Ukrainian control per latest ISW maps—shows no confirmed territorial changes driving trader sentiment. No major military developments, such as breakthroughs or captures in Stinky, have occurred in the last 30 days amid grinding frontline fighting characterized by artillery duels, drone strikes, and high attrition on both sides. Ukrainian defenses hold firm with fortifications and reinforcements, while Russian assaults face logistical hurdles and manpower constraints. Continued positional warfare persists, with potential escalation from intensified Russian offensives; market resolution depends on ISW verification of any Russian territorial gains in Stinky.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या रूस... तक बदबूदार में प्रवेश करेगा?
क्या रूस... तक बदबूदार में प्रवेश करेगा?
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
3%
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
3%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 26, 2026, 9:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have made incremental advances near Chasiv Yar in Donetsk Oblast over the past month, but Stinky—a small rural settlement (48.58°N, 37.74°E) under Ukrainian control per latest ISW maps—shows no confirmed territorial changes driving trader sentiment. No major military developments, such as breakthroughs or captures in Stinky, have occurred in the last 30 days amid grinding frontline fighting characterized by artillery duels, drone strikes, and high attrition on both sides. Ukrainian defenses hold firm with fortifications and reinforcements, while Russian assaults face logistical hurdles and manpower constraints. Continued positional warfare persists, with potential escalation from intensified Russian offensives; market resolution depends on ISW verification of any Russian territorial gains in Stinky.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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