Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored by his constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 reelection, with no official announcements of resignation, early elections, or succession plans. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security and surveillance of elites reported in early May amid Ukraine war setbacks, reflect internal coup and assassination fears but have reinforced rather than undermined his authority, per leaked intelligence assessments. Absent verified health crises or elite defections—despite persistent rumors—historical patterns of siloviki loyalty and power consolidation sustain low odds of removal, barring unforeseen shocks like a no-confidence challenge or military reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापुतिन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक रूस के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में बाहर हो जाएंगे?
पुतिन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक रूस के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में बाहर हो जाएंगे?
हाँ
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus assigns an 88.5% implied probability to Vladimir Putin remaining Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored by his constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 reelection, with no official announcements of resignation, early elections, or succession plans. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security and surveillance of elites reported in early May amid Ukraine war setbacks, reflect internal coup and assassination fears but have reinforced rather than undermined his authority, per leaked intelligence assessments. Absent verified health crises or elite defections—despite persistent rumors—historical patterns of siloviki loyalty and power consolidation sustain low odds of removal, barring unforeseen shocks like a no-confidence challenge or military reversal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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