Ongoing Russian military advances and strikes, including a major April 16 barrage killing at least 15 in Ukraine, underscore persistent escalation despite a brief, violation-plagued 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce around April 10 that failed to halt broader hostilities. Moscow maintains expansive territorial demands in Donbas and beyond, while Kyiv rejects concessions amid continued arms inflows from NATO allies; peace talks remain suspended since early 2026, distracted by the Iran conflict and lacking U.S.-mediated momentum before potential midterms pressure. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals by June 30, traders' 92.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched battlefield stalemate and diplomatic gridlock, though late breakthroughs like trilateral meetings could theoretically shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
30 जून, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$6,269,231 वॉल्यूम
$6,269,231 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$6,269,231 वॉल्यूम
$6,269,231 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances and strikes, including a major April 16 barrage killing at least 15 in Ukraine, underscore persistent escalation despite a brief, violation-plagued 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce around April 10 that failed to halt broader hostilities. Moscow maintains expansive territorial demands in Donbas and beyond, while Kyiv rejects concessions amid continued arms inflows from NATO allies; peace talks remain suspended since early 2026, distracted by the Iran conflict and lacking U.S.-mediated momentum before potential midterms pressure. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals by June 30, traders' 92.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched battlefield stalemate and diplomatic gridlock, though late breakthroughs like trilateral meetings could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,269,231समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Ongoing Russian military advances and strikes, including a major April 16 barrage killing at least 15 in Ukraine, underscore persistent escalation despite a brief, violation-plagued 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce around April 10 that failed to halt broader hostilities. Moscow maintains expansive territorial demands in Donbas and beyond, while Kyiv rejects concessions amid continued arms inflows from NATO allies; peace talks remain suspended since early 2026, distracted by the Iran conflict and lacking U.S.-mediated momentum before potential midterms pressure. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals by June 30, traders' 92.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched battlefield stalemate and diplomatic gridlock, though late breakthroughs like trilateral meetings could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$6,269,231समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian military advances and strikes, including a major April 16 barrage killing at least 15 in Ukraine, underscore persistent escalation despite a brief, violation-plagued 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce around April 10 that failed to halt broader hostilities. Moscow maintains expansive territorial demands in Donbas and beyond, while Kyiv rejects concessions amid continued arms inflows from NATO allies; peace talks remain suspended since early 2026, distracted by the Iran conflict and lacking U.S.-mediated momentum before potential midterms pressure. With no scheduled summits or de-escalation signals by June 30, traders' 92.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched battlefield stalemate and diplomatic gridlock, though late breakthroughs like trilateral meetings could theoretically shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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