Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून, 2027 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
30 जून, 2027 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$16,055 वॉल्यूम
$16,055 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
हाँ
$16,055 वॉल्यूम
$16,055 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,055समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$16,055समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's April 18 statement that Moscow is in no rush to resume Ukraine peace talks, prioritizing other issues amid its spring offensive, anchors trader consensus implying a 58% probability of no ceasefire by June 30, 2027. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce last weekend collapsed amid mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent hostilities despite U.S.-brokered discussions in March that yielded prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial demands and maximalist positions. Ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities and Kyiv's insistence on security guarantees before concessions highlight deep divides, with negotiations paused partly due to U.S. focus on the Iran conflict; upcoming potential White House envoy visits to Kyiv offer slim prospects for de-escalation before midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न