Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Kyiv's firm stance on alliance aspirations. Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to forgo NATO membership for Western security guarantees, February 2026 U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced no neutrality pledge, with discussions paused amid other geopolitical tensions. Zelensky on April 10 called past non-NATO status without safeguards a "historic mistake," underscoring resistance to concessions. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte reaffirmed Ukraine's "irreversible path" to membership post-war, while a temporary Orthodox Easter ceasefire failed to advance broader de-escalation, leaving slim odds for such an agreement by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$84,126 वॉल्यूम
$84,126 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$84,126 वॉल्यूम
$84,126 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Kyiv's firm stance on alliance aspirations. Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to forgo NATO membership for Western security guarantees, February 2026 U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced no neutrality pledge, with discussions paused amid other geopolitical tensions. Zelensky on April 10 called past non-NATO status without safeguards a "historic mistake," underscoring resistance to concessions. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte reaffirmed Ukraine's "irreversible path" to membership post-war, while a temporary Orthodox Easter ceasefire failed to advance broader de-escalation, leaving slim odds for such an agreement by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,126समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Kyiv's firm stance on alliance aspirations. Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to forgo NATO membership for Western security guarantees, February 2026 U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced no neutrality pledge, with discussions paused amid other geopolitical tensions. Zelensky on April 10 called past non-NATO status without safeguards a "historic mistake," underscoring resistance to concessions. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte reaffirmed Ukraine's "irreversible path" to membership post-war, while a temporary Orthodox Easter ceasefire failed to advance broader de-escalation, leaving slim odds for such an agreement by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
वॉल्यूम
$84,126समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, driven by stalled peace negotiations and Kyiv's firm stance on alliance aspirations. Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to forgo NATO membership for Western security guarantees, February 2026 U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva produced no neutrality pledge, with discussions paused amid other geopolitical tensions. Zelensky on April 10 called past non-NATO status without safeguards a "historic mistake," underscoring resistance to concessions. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte reaffirmed Ukraine's "irreversible path" to membership post-war, while a temporary Orthodox Easter ceasefire failed to advance broader de-escalation, leaving slim odds for such an agreement by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न