The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
$664,780 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून, 2026
2%
30 सितंबर, 2026
6%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
9%
$664,780 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$38,761 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 सितंबर, 2026
$5,584 वॉल्यूम
6%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$10,216 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$664,780समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$664,780समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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