President Trump’s October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China—citing alleged foreign low-yield or hidden explosive activity—remain the central driver of trader sentiment. Subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and State Department officials emphasized that no decision has been made on explosive underground tests, with assessments continuing into 2026 after New START’s February expiration. Congressional opposition, including proposed legislation to codify the 1992 moratorium, Nevada state resolutions against testing at the Nevada National Security Site, and reliance on stockpile stewardship programs have reinforced expectations of continued restraint. No yield-producing explosive test has occurred since 1992, and administration focus has centered on delivery system evaluations and non-explosive activities rather than full resumption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?
$667,461 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून, 2026
2%
30 सितंबर, 2026
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
9%
$667,461 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$40,114 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 सितंबर, 2026
$6,656 वॉल्यूम
5%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$10,472 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China—citing alleged foreign low-yield or hidden explosive activity—remain the central driver of trader sentiment. Subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and State Department officials emphasized that no decision has been made on explosive underground tests, with assessments continuing into 2026 after New START’s February expiration. Congressional opposition, including proposed legislation to codify the 1992 moratorium, Nevada state resolutions against testing at the Nevada National Security Site, and reliance on stockpile stewardship programs have reinforced expectations of continued restraint. No yield-producing explosive test has occurred since 1992, and administration focus has centered on delivery system evaluations and non-explosive activities rather than full resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$667,461समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China—citing alleged foreign low-yield or hidden explosive activity—remain the central driver of trader sentiment. Subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and State Department officials emphasized that no decision has been made on explosive underground tests, with assessments continuing into 2026 after New START’s February expiration. Congressional opposition, including proposed legislation to codify the 1992 moratorium, Nevada state resolutions against testing at the Nevada National Security Site, and reliance on stockpile stewardship programs have reinforced expectations of continued restraint. No yield-producing explosive test has occurred since 1992, and administration focus has centered on delivery system evaluations and non-explosive activities rather than full resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$667,461समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with Russia and China—citing alleged foreign low-yield or hidden explosive activity—remain the central driver of trader sentiment. Subsequent clarifications from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and State Department officials emphasized that no decision has been made on explosive underground tests, with assessments continuing into 2026 after New START’s February expiration. Congressional opposition, including proposed legislation to codify the 1992 moratorium, Nevada state resolutions against testing at the Nevada National Security Site, and reliance on stockpile stewardship programs have reinforced expectations of continued restraint. No yield-producing explosive test has occurred since 1992, and administration focus has centered on delivery system evaluations and non-explosive activities rather than full resumption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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