Skip to main content
icon for अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?

अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?

icon for अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?

अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?

$667,461 वॉल्यूम

30 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$667,461 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

30 जून, 2026

$40,114 वॉल्यूम

2%

30 सितंबर, 2026

$6,656 वॉल्यूम

5%

31 दिसंबर, 2026

$10,472 वॉल्यूम

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.

Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.

Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.

The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$667,461
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing “on an equal basis” with other nations, prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities, initially raised prospects of ending the 1992 moratorium. Subsequent clarifications from the Energy Department emphasized non-explosive system tests, simulations, and subcritical experiments rather than yield-producing detonations. Congressional measures have advanced to require legislative approval for any explosive test, while the Nevada Test Site maintains technical readiness but lacks recent funding or scheduling for full underground explosions. Ongoing arms-control concerns and bipartisan opposition continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.

Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.

Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.

The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$667,461
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?" Polymarket पर 6 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर, 2026 9% (9¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 30 सितंबर, 2026 5% पर है।

आज तक, "अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?" ने कुल $667.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 5, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 6 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "31 दिसंबर, 2026" केवल 9% पर है, "30 सितंबर, 2026" 5% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"अमेरिका द्वारा परमाणु परीक्षण...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।