The National Hurricane Center's latest assessments confirm no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, underscoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for no named storm before the official June 1 start. Current sea surface temperatures remain below the 26.5°C threshold needed for genesis in the main development region, compounded by high vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air, which suppress pre-season activity—a pattern consistent with historical rarity of such events, occurring only sporadically since 1851. Recent Colorado State University forecasts from April 9 predict below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña conditions. NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
तूफ़ान के मौसम से पहले तूफ़ान के रूपों को नाम दिया गया है?
हाँ
$332,200 वॉल्यूम
$332,200 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$332,200 वॉल्यूम
$332,200 वॉल्यूम
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's latest assessments confirm no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, underscoring trader consensus at 64% implied probability for no named storm before the official June 1 start. Current sea surface temperatures remain below the 26.5°C threshold needed for genesis in the main development region, compounded by high vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air, which suppress pre-season activity—a pattern consistent with historical rarity of such events, occurring only sporadically since 1851. Recent Colorado State University forecasts from April 9 predict below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña conditions. NHC resumes regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, when new model data could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न