Science predictions & odds

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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑500

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$1m today

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$1m वॉल्यूम

$82.7k today

$246k Liq.

88

Ends in 11 months

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

100%

175

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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

7%

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9

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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

36%

5-6

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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

70%

0

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

4

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14

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How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

27%

6-8

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1

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January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

47%

1.10–1.14ºC

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Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

89%

March 31

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1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

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3

Ends in 11 months

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

98%

4th or lower

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How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

41%

15+

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1

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How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

91%

<30

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

39%

11–13

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How many SpaceX launches in January?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in January?

89%

12 or more

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

65%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

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3

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

64%

8+

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10

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Precipitation in Seattle in January?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in January?

43%

<3"

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1

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5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

51%

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