SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential U.S. IPO filing targeting a record $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—far eclipsing rivals—following February's acquisition of xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion enterprise value. The merger integrates xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities with SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and rocket operations, fueling optimism for explosive growth in space-based data centers and AI infrastructure amid surging demand. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype and standalone AI potential, while OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) trail due to unconfirmed IPO timelines despite trillion-dollar private valuations. Traders eye June site visits and pricing as key catalysts, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles could introduce delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्पेसएक्स 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
एंथ्रॉपिक 3.2%
डिस्कॉर्ड 1.8%
$1,717,591 वॉल्यूम
$1,717,591 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
90%
OpenAI
3%
एंथ्रॉपिक
3%
डिस्कॉर्ड
2%
डेटाब्रिक्स
1%
स्ट्राइप
1%
क्रैकन
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
वेमो
<1%
Revolut
<1%
स्पेसएक्स 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
एंथ्रॉपिक 3.2%
डिस्कॉर्ड 1.8%
$1,717,591 वॉल्यूम
$1,717,591 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
$209,880 वॉल्यूम
90%
OpenAI
$309,518 वॉल्यूम
3%
एंथ्रॉपिक
$348,535 वॉल्यूम
3%
डिस्कॉर्ड
$74,602 वॉल्यूम
2%
डेटाब्रिक्स
$73,225 वॉल्यूम
1%
स्ट्राइप
$41,460 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्रैकन
$376,914 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$87,768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
$55,793 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SHEIN
$57,710 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वेमो
$49,652 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Revolut
$32,533 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential U.S. IPO filing targeting a record $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—far eclipsing rivals—following February's acquisition of xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion enterprise value. The merger integrates xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities with SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and rocket operations, fueling optimism for explosive growth in space-based data centers and AI infrastructure amid surging demand. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype and standalone AI potential, while OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) trail due to unconfirmed IPO timelines despite trillion-dollar private valuations. Traders eye June site visits and pricing as key catalysts, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,717,591समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential U.S. IPO filing targeting a record $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—far eclipsing rivals—following February's acquisition of xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion enterprise value. The merger integrates xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities with SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and rocket operations, fueling optimism for explosive growth in space-based data centers and AI infrastructure amid surging demand. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype and standalone AI potential, while OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) trail due to unconfirmed IPO timelines despite trillion-dollar private valuations. Traders eye June site visits and pricing as key catalysts, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,717,591समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential U.S. IPO filing targeting a record $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—far eclipsing rivals—following February's acquisition of xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion enterprise value. The merger integrates xAI's artificial intelligence capabilities with SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and rocket operations, fueling optimism for explosive growth in space-based data centers and AI infrastructure amid surging demand. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype and standalone AI potential, while OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) trail due to unconfirmed IPO timelines despite trillion-dollar private valuations. Traders eye June site visits and pricing as key catalysts, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles could introduce delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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