Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion around March 24, 2026, and rapid progress through post-training and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from competitive dynamics, as Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 drew mixed reviews for inconsistent instruction-following and agentic performance, handing OpenAI a perceived edge to counter with superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal capabilities. Recent OpenAI product updates, like expanded Codex app integrations on April 16, signal readiness, while a fresh leadership shakeup introduces minor timeline uncertainty but hasn't dented near-term odds. Watch for developer previews or blog posts next week as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अप्रैल 75%
30 अप्रैल तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 6.0%
30 अप्रैल 4.2%
22 अप्रैल 4.0%
$139,335 वॉल्यूम
$139,335 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
18 अप्रैल
<1%
19 अप्रैल
<1%
20 अप्रैल
1%
21 अप्रैल
3%
22 अप्रैल
4%
23 अप्रैल
75%
24 अप्रैल
1%
25 अप्रैल
<1%
26 अप्रैल
1%
27 अप्रैल
1%
28 अप्रैल
2%
29 अप्रैल
1%
30 अप्रैल
4%
30 अप्रैल तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
6%
23 अप्रैल 75%
30 अप्रैल तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 6.0%
30 अप्रैल 4.2%
22 अप्रैल 4.0%
$139,335 वॉल्यूम
$139,335 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
18 अप्रैल
$2,130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19 अप्रैल
$2,892 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20 अप्रैल
$2,410 वॉल्यूम
1%
21 अप्रैल
$4,491 वॉल्यूम
3%
22 अप्रैल
$6,090 वॉल्यूम
4%
23 अप्रैल
$29,907 वॉल्यूम
75%
24 अप्रैल
$2,907 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 अप्रैल
$1,743 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26 अप्रैल
$2,060 वॉल्यूम
1%
27 अप्रैल
$2,453 वॉल्यूम
1%
28 अप्रैल
$2,852 वॉल्यूम
2%
29 अप्रैल
$2,672 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 अप्रैल
$4,443 वॉल्यूम
4%
30 अप्रैल तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$9,015 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion around March 24, 2026, and rapid progress through post-training and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from competitive dynamics, as Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 drew mixed reviews for inconsistent instruction-following and agentic performance, handing OpenAI a perceived edge to counter with superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal capabilities. Recent OpenAI product updates, like expanded Codex app integrations on April 16, signal readiness, while a fresh leadership shakeup introduces minor timeline uncertainty but hasn't dented near-term odds. Watch for developer previews or blog posts next week as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$139,335समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion around March 24, 2026, and rapid progress through post-training and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from competitive dynamics, as Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 drew mixed reviews for inconsistent instruction-following and agentic performance, handing OpenAI a perceived edge to counter with superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal capabilities. Recent OpenAI product updates, like expanded Codex app integrations on April 16, signal readiness, while a fresh leadership shakeup introduces minor timeline uncertainty but hasn't dented near-term odds. Watch for developer previews or blog posts next week as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$139,335समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud"—on April 23, reflecting confirmed pretraining completion around March 24, 2026, and rapid progress through post-training and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from competitive dynamics, as Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch on April 16 drew mixed reviews for inconsistent instruction-following and agentic performance, handing OpenAI a perceived edge to counter with superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal capabilities. Recent OpenAI product updates, like expanded Codex app integrations on April 16, signal readiness, while a fresh leadership shakeup introduces minor timeline uncertainty but hasn't dented near-term odds. Watch for developer previews or blog posts next week as key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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