Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Mistral <1%
Meituan <1%
$809,798 वॉल्यूम
$809,798 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
ByteDance
No
Baidu
No
DeepSeek
No
Microsoft
No
Alibaba
No
Amazon
No
Meta
No
xAI
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Mistral <1%
Meituan <1%
$809,798 वॉल्यूम
$809,798 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
$95,880 वॉल्यूम
No
Mistral
$28,712 वॉल्यूम
No
Meituan
$35,139 वॉल्यूम
No
Anthropic
$91,569 वॉल्यूम
Yes
OpenAI
$47,891 वॉल्यूम
No
ByteDance
$39,994 वॉल्यूम
No
Baidu
$40,096 वॉल्यूम
No
DeepSeek
$38,584 वॉल्यूम
No
Microsoft
$27,718 वॉल्यूम
No
Alibaba
$84,253 वॉल्यूम
No
Amazon
$31,179 वॉल्यूम
No
Meta
$110,701 वॉल्यूम
No
xAI
$70,253 वॉल्यूम
No
Moonshot
$30,960 वॉल्यूम
No
Z.ai
$36,868 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$809,798समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$809,798समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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