Moonshot AI, the Beijing-based developer behind the Kimi large language model series, has yet to release Kimi K3 as of early May 2026, fueling trader focus on timelines amid intense Chinese AI competition. The firm's April 20 launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6—a Mixture-of-Experts model excelling in coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and agent swarms with 4,000+ tool calls—underscored rapid iteration, jumping BridgeBench scores 213% from K2.5. Credible reports peg K3 at 2.5 trillion parameters for Q3 rollout, bolstered by a May 6 $2 billion funding round valuing Moonshot at $20 billion. Watch for developer previews or DeepSeek V4 counters that could shift release odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$38,111 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
June 30
22%
31 मई
17%
$38,111 वॉल्यूम
June 30
$3,044 वॉल्यूम
22%
31 मई
$1,666 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI, the Beijing-based developer behind the Kimi large language model series, has yet to release Kimi K3 as of early May 2026, fueling trader focus on timelines amid intense Chinese AI competition. The firm's April 20 launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6—a Mixture-of-Experts model excelling in coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and agent swarms with 4,000+ tool calls—underscored rapid iteration, jumping BridgeBench scores 213% from K2.5. Credible reports peg K3 at 2.5 trillion parameters for Q3 rollout, bolstered by a May 6 $2 billion funding round valuing Moonshot at $20 billion. Watch for developer previews or DeepSeek V4 counters that could shift release odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,111समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI, the Beijing-based developer behind the Kimi large language model series, has yet to release Kimi K3 as of early May 2026, fueling trader focus on timelines amid intense Chinese AI competition. The firm's April 20 launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6—a Mixture-of-Experts model excelling in coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and agent swarms with 4,000+ tool calls—underscored rapid iteration, jumping BridgeBench scores 213% from K2.5. Credible reports peg K3 at 2.5 trillion parameters for Q3 rollout, bolstered by a May 6 $2 billion funding round valuing Moonshot at $20 billion. Watch for developer previews or DeepSeek V4 counters that could shift release odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$38,111समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI, the Beijing-based developer behind the Kimi large language model series, has yet to release Kimi K3 as of early May 2026, fueling trader focus on timelines amid intense Chinese AI competition. The firm's April 20 launch of open-weight Kimi K2.6—a Mixture-of-Experts model excelling in coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and agent swarms with 4,000+ tool calls—underscored rapid iteration, jumping BridgeBench scores 213% from K2.5. Credible reports peg K3 at 2.5 trillion parameters for Q3 rollout, bolstered by a May 6 $2 billion funding round valuing Moonshot at $20 billion. Watch for developer previews or DeepSeek V4 counters that could shift release odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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