Midway through April 2026, NOAA-confirmed U.S. tornadoes total 63—below the 1991–2020 monthly average of 182—following a slow start but boosted by recent outbreaks on April 13–17 that produced over 50 tornadoes across the Midwest and Plains, per Storm Prediction Center (SPC) data. This has clustered trader consensus around 170–259 total (implied odds 32.5% for 170–199, 29.0% for 200–229, 26.0% for 230–259), differentiated by uncertainty in preliminary-to-confirmed rates (historically 65–80% confirmation) and remaining severe weather potential from persistent wind shear, Gulf-sourced moisture, and CAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg favoring supercells. A pattern shift could limit late-month activity, while sustained troughing risks major events; watch SPC Day 3–8 outlooks for updates through month's end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
अप्रैल में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
170–199 43%
200–229 30%
230–259 28%
140–169 18%
$38,971 वॉल्यूम
$38,971 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<140
9%
140–169
18%
170–199
32%
200–229
30%
230–259
28%
260–289
32%
290–319
6%
३२०–३५०
32%
350+
4%
170–199 43%
200–229 30%
230–259 28%
140–169 18%
$38,971 वॉल्यूम
$38,971 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<140
$8,954 वॉल्यूम
9%
140–169
$6,638 वॉल्यूम
18%
170–199
$450 वॉल्यूम
32%
200–229
$129 वॉल्यूम
30%
230–259
$125 वॉल्यूम
28%
260–289
$132 वॉल्यूम
32%
290–319
$328 वॉल्यूम
6%
३२०–३५०
$184 वॉल्यूम
32%
350+
$22,032 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Midway through April 2026, NOAA-confirmed U.S. tornadoes total 63—below the 1991–2020 monthly average of 182—following a slow start but boosted by recent outbreaks on April 13–17 that produced over 50 tornadoes across the Midwest and Plains, per Storm Prediction Center (SPC) data. This has clustered trader consensus around 170–259 total (implied odds 32.5% for 170–199, 29.0% for 200–229, 26.0% for 230–259), differentiated by uncertainty in preliminary-to-confirmed rates (historically 65–80% confirmation) and remaining severe weather potential from persistent wind shear, Gulf-sourced moisture, and CAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg favoring supercells. A pattern shift could limit late-month activity, while sustained troughing risks major events; watch SPC Day 3–8 outlooks for updates through month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,971समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Midway through April 2026, NOAA-confirmed U.S. tornadoes total 63—below the 1991–2020 monthly average of 182—following a slow start but boosted by recent outbreaks on April 13–17 that produced over 50 tornadoes across the Midwest and Plains, per Storm Prediction Center (SPC) data. This has clustered trader consensus around 170–259 total (implied odds 32.5% for 170–199, 29.0% for 200–229, 26.0% for 230–259), differentiated by uncertainty in preliminary-to-confirmed rates (historically 65–80% confirmation) and remaining severe weather potential from persistent wind shear, Gulf-sourced moisture, and CAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg favoring supercells. A pattern shift could limit late-month activity, while sustained troughing risks major events; watch SPC Day 3–8 outlooks for updates through month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
वॉल्यूम
$38,971समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Midway through April 2026, NOAA-confirmed U.S. tornadoes total 63—below the 1991–2020 monthly average of 182—following a slow start but boosted by recent outbreaks on April 13–17 that produced over 50 tornadoes across the Midwest and Plains, per Storm Prediction Center (SPC) data. This has clustered trader consensus around 170–259 total (implied odds 32.5% for 170–199, 29.0% for 200–229, 26.0% for 230–259), differentiated by uncertainty in preliminary-to-confirmed rates (historically 65–80% confirmation) and remaining severe weather potential from persistent wind shear, Gulf-sourced moisture, and CAPE exceeding 2000 J/kg favoring supercells. A pattern shift could limit late-month activity, while sustained troughing risks major events; watch SPC Day 3–8 outlooks for updates through month's end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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