arsenelupin

Inscrit Jan 2026·243 vues

You need to follow me if you are into politics.

$167.96

Valeur des positions

$197.00

Plus gros gain

328

Prédictions

Profit/Perte

-$207.53

Jour Précédent

Actuel

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27¢

200.0 actions

27¢

27.5¢

$55.00$1.00 (1.85%)

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27¢

200.0 actions

$55.00$1.00 (1.85%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6¢

3,759.4 actions

0.6¢

0.7¢

$24.44$1.88 (8.33%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6¢

3,759.4 actions

$24.44$1.88 (8.33%)

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Yes 5.2¢

390.1 actions

5.2¢

4.2¢

$16.19-$3.97 (-19.71%)

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Yes 5.2¢

390.1 actions

$16.19-$3.97 (-19.71%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2.5¢

600.0 actions

2.5¢

2.4¢

$14.10-$0.90 (-6%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2.5¢

600.0 actions

$14.10-$0.90 (-6%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Yes 6¢

200.0 actions

6¢

5¢

$10.00-$2.00 (-16.67%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Yes 6¢

200.0 actions

$10.00-$2.00 (-16.67%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7¢

1,500.0 actions

0.7¢

$9.75-$0.75 (-7.14%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7¢

1,500.0 actions

$9.75-$0.75 (-7.14%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2¢

300.0 actions

2.2¢

2.3¢

$6.75$0.15 (2.27%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2¢

300.0 actions

$6.75$0.15 (2.27%)

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25?

Yes 3.3¢

296.3 actions

3.3¢

2.3¢

$6.67-$3.11 (-31.82%)

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 25?

Yes 3.3¢

296.3 actions

$6.67-$3.11 (-31.82%)

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 7¢

69.0 actions

7¢

7.5¢

$5.18$0.35 (7.14%)

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 7¢

69.0 actions

$5.18$0.35 (7.14%)

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?

Yes 1.5¢

200.0 actions

1.5¢

2.3¢

$4.50$1.50 (50%)

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?

Yes 1.5¢

200.0 actions

$4.50$1.50 (50%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

60.4 actions

13¢

5.7¢

$3.44-$4.40 (-56.09%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

60.4 actions

$3.44-$4.40 (-56.09%)

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 11.7¢

73.5 actions

11.7¢

4.3¢

$3.15-$5.45 (-63.34%)

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 11.7¢

73.5 actions

$3.15-$5.45 (-63.34%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Yes 18¢

19.3 actions

18¢

12.5¢

$2.42-$1.06 (-30.55%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Yes 18¢

19.3 actions

$2.42-$1.06 (-30.55%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 5.7¢

283.0 actions

5.7¢

0.9¢

$2.41-$13.63 (-85%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 5.7¢

283.0 actions

$2.41-$13.63 (-85%)

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 8.4¢

45.0 actions

8.4¢

4.9¢

$2.18-$1.60 (-42.26%)

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 8.4¢

45.0 actions

$2.18-$1.60 (-42.26%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Yes 22¢

5.0 actions

22¢

15.8¢

$0.79-$0.31 (-28.41%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Yes 22¢

5.0 actions

$0.79-$0.31 (-28.41%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Yes 6.7¢

50.0 actions

6.7¢

1.5¢

$0.75-$2.60 (-77.61%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Yes 6.7¢

50.0 actions

$0.75-$2.60 (-77.61%)

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4¢

188.2 actions

4¢

0.1¢

$0.09-$7.49 (-98.76%)

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 4¢

188.2 actions

$0.09-$7.49 (-98.76%)

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5.2¢

20.0 actions

5.2¢

0.4¢

$0.07-$0.97 (-93.27%)

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5.2¢

20.0 actions

$0.07-$0.97 (-93.27%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 7¢

40.0 actions

7¢

0.2¢

$0.06-$2.74 (-97.86%)

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 7¢

40.0 actions

$0.06-$2.74 (-97.86%)