La Russie récupérera-t-elle le territoire à Vilne d'ici... ?
La Russie récupérera-t-elle le territoire à Vilne d'ici... ?
$182,130 Vol.
Nov 30, 2025
30 novembre
Non
31 décembre
Non
$182,130 Vol.
30 novembre
$172,348 Vol.
Non
31 décembre
$9,783 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vilne in Donetsk Oblast by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vilne is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures territory of Vilne, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the territory of Vilne as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vilne in Donetsk Oblast by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vilne is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures territory of Vilne, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the territory of Vilne as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vilne is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures territory of Vilne, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the territory of Vilne as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Oct 29, 2025, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$182,130Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Marché ouvert
Oct 29, 2025, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non

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