Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,800 per ounce reached in mid-October, trading around $2,650 amid post-election dollar strength and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, which pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Persistent central bank buying—China added 20 tonnes in November—and Middle East tensions bolster safe-haven demand, while market-implied Fed funds rate path anticipates 25 basis point cuts at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting if inflation cools. Upcoming catalysts include December CPI on January 15 and Q4 GDP, with traders monitoring $2,600 support and $2,750 resistance levels; resolution hinges on real yield trajectory and risk appetite into quarter-end. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these macro dynamics, pricing modest upside potential absent hotter-than-expected data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$2,642,376 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 300 $
17%
↓ 4 000 $
5%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
<1%
$2,642,376 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 300 $
17%
↓ 4 000 $
5%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have pulled back from all-time highs above $2,800 per ounce reached in mid-October, trading around $2,650 amid post-election dollar strength and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, which pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Persistent central bank buying—China added 20 tonnes in November—and Middle East tensions bolster safe-haven demand, while market-implied Fed funds rate path anticipates 25 basis point cuts at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting if inflation cools. Upcoming catalysts include December CPI on January 15 and Q4 GDP, with traders monitoring $2,600 support and $2,750 resistance levels; resolution hinges on real yield trajectory and risk appetite into quarter-end. Polymarket odds reflect trader consensus on these macro dynamics, pricing modest upside potential absent hotter-than-expected data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes