Gold prices (COMEX GC futures) hover around $2,635/oz, down from October's record highs above $2,790 amid post-election USD strength and tempered Fed rate cut expectations following robust US economic data. Elevated real yields (10-year TIPS at ~2.1%) and equity market gains have pressured the non-yielding asset, though safe-haven demand persists from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases, particularly from China. Trader consensus prices in a 40-50% implied probability of testing $2,800 by March end, contingent on softer inflation readings. Key catalysts include December 18 FOMC meeting for 2025 dot plot updates, January CPI release, and potential policy shifts under incoming Trump administration boosting fiscal deficits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$2,892,369 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
<1%
↓ 4 300 $
25%
↓ 4 000 $
4%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
<1%
$2,892,369 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
$321,460 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
$360,714 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
$104,477 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
$76,392 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
$87,037 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
$42,561 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
$76,660 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
$68,075 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
$62,840 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
$169,443 Vol.
<1%
↓ 4 300 $
$176,896 Vol.
25%
↓ 4 000 $
$220,271 Vol.
4%
↓ 3 600 $
$201,441 Vol.
1%
↓ 3 000 $
$284,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices (COMEX GC futures) hover around $2,635/oz, down from October's record highs above $2,790 amid post-election USD strength and tempered Fed rate cut expectations following robust US economic data. Elevated real yields (10-year TIPS at ~2.1%) and equity market gains have pressured the non-yielding asset, though safe-haven demand persists from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases, particularly from China. Trader consensus prices in a 40-50% implied probability of testing $2,800 by March end, contingent on softer inflation readings. Key catalysts include December 18 FOMC meeting for 2025 dot plot updates, January CPI release, and potential policy shifts under incoming Trump administration boosting fiscal deficits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$2,892,369Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices (COMEX GC futures) hover around $2,635/oz, down from October's record highs above $2,790 amid post-election USD strength and tempered Fed rate cut expectations following robust US economic data. Elevated real yields (10-year TIPS at ~2.1%) and equity market gains have pressured the non-yielding asset, though safe-haven demand persists from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases, particularly from China. Trader consensus prices in a 40-50% implied probability of testing $2,800 by March end, contingent on softer inflation readings. Key catalysts include December 18 FOMC meeting for 2025 dot plot updates, January CPI release, and potential policy shifts under incoming Trump administration boosting fiscal deficits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,892,369Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices (COMEX GC futures) hover around $2,635/oz, down from October's record highs above $2,790 amid post-election USD strength and tempered Fed rate cut expectations following robust US economic data. Elevated real yields (10-year TIPS at ~2.1%) and equity market gains have pressured the non-yielding asset, though safe-haven demand persists from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases, particularly from China. Trader consensus prices in a 40-50% implied probability of testing $2,800 by March end, contingent on softer inflation readings. Key catalysts include December 18 FOMC meeting for 2025 dot plot updates, January CPI release, and potential policy shifts under incoming Trump administration boosting fiscal deficits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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