Gold prices have climbed to around $2,650 per ounce amid persistent safe-haven demand driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, coupled with central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. Lower real interest rates following the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis point cut in September have bolstered non-yielding assets like gold (GC futures), while a softening U.S. dollar supports further upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities pricing in potential tests of $2,700 by month-end. Key catalysts ahead include January 10 CPI data, the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate cut expectations and volatility via the VIX. Historical base rates show gold averaging 5-10% quarterly gains in low-rate environments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$2,903,170 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
<1%
↓ 4 300 $
26%
↓ 4 000 $
4%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
<1%
$2,903,170 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
$321,460 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
$360,862 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
$104,676 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
$78,972 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
$88,190 Vol.
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
$42,561 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 800 $
$76,660 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 600 $
$68,075 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 500 $
$62,959 Vol.
<1%
↑ 5 400 $
$170,084 Vol.
<1%
↓ 4 300 $
$178,135 Vol.
26%
↓ 4 000 $
$222,696 Vol.
4%
↓ 3 600 $
$203,937 Vol.
1%
↓ 3 000 $
$284,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have climbed to around $2,650 per ounce amid persistent safe-haven demand driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, coupled with central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. Lower real interest rates following the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis point cut in September have bolstered non-yielding assets like gold (GC futures), while a softening U.S. dollar supports further upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities pricing in potential tests of $2,700 by month-end. Key catalysts ahead include January 10 CPI data, the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate cut expectations and volatility via the VIX. Historical base rates show gold averaging 5-10% quarterly gains in low-rate environments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$2,903,170Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have climbed to around $2,650 per ounce amid persistent safe-haven demand driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, coupled with central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. Lower real interest rates following the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis point cut in September have bolstered non-yielding assets like gold (GC futures), while a softening U.S. dollar supports further upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities pricing in potential tests of $2,700 by month-end. Key catalysts ahead include January 10 CPI data, the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate cut expectations and volatility via the VIX. Historical base rates show gold averaging 5-10% quarterly gains in low-rate environments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,903,170Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have climbed to around $2,650 per ounce amid persistent safe-haven demand driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, coupled with central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024. Lower real interest rates following the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis point cut in September have bolstered non-yielding assets like gold (GC futures), while a softening U.S. dollar supports further upside. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, with implied probabilities pricing in potential tests of $2,700 by month-end. Key catalysts ahead include January 10 CPI data, the FOMC meeting on January 28-29, and nonfarm payrolls, which could shift rate cut expectations and volatility via the VIX. Historical base rates show gold averaging 5-10% quarterly gains in low-rate environments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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