Market icon

L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?

Market icon

L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$610,975 Vol.

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Anthropic

$139,066 Vol.

Oui

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OpenAI

$71,148 Vol.

Non

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DeepSeek

$95,315 Vol.

Non

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Z.ai

$79,604 Vol.

Non

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xAI

$34,675 Vol.

Non

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Aucun d'ici le 30 juin

$57,526 Vol.

Non

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Mistral

$36,701 Vol.

Non

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Google

$56,772 Vol.

Non

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Alibaba

$40,168 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$610,975
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30". If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "OpenAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?" has generated $611K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "OpenAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "L'IA de quelle entreprise atteindra 1 500 pour la première fois sur Chatbot Arena d'ici le 30 juin ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.