Trader consensus on the DHS shutdown resolution remains tightly clustered across mid-April windows, reflecting stalled bipartisan negotiations amid partisan divides over border security funding and spending cuts. House Republicans, led by Speaker Johnson, recently advanced a budget resolution on April 10 demanding policy riders for DHS priorities like ICE deportations and wall construction, but hardliners blocked a clean continuing resolution last week, forcing delays. Senate Democrats prioritize a short-term CR without concessions, with no whip count signaling imminent passage. Upcoming floor votes and potential conference committee talks could tip odds toward earlier resolution if compromise emerges, or prolong into late April if shutdown brinkmanship escalates ahead of the April 30 funding cliff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAvant le 1er avril 30%
9-12 avril 27%
13-16 avril 27%
17-20 avril 27%
Avant le 1er avril
30%
1-4 avril
27%
5-8 avril
27%
9-12 avril
27%
13-16 avril
27%
17-20 avril
27%
21-24 avril
26%
25-28 avril
26%
29-30 avril
26%
Après le 30 avril
26%
Avant le 1er avril 30%
9-12 avril 27%
13-16 avril 27%
17-20 avril 27%
Avant le 1er avril
30%
1-4 avril
27%
5-8 avril
27%
9-12 avril
27%
13-16 avril
27%
17-20 avril
27%
21-24 avril
26%
25-28 avril
26%
29-30 avril
26%
Après le 30 avril
26%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the DHS shutdown resolution remains tightly clustered across mid-April windows, reflecting stalled bipartisan negotiations amid partisan divides over border security funding and spending cuts. House Republicans, led by Speaker Johnson, recently advanced a budget resolution on April 10 demanding policy riders for DHS priorities like ICE deportations and wall construction, but hardliners blocked a clean continuing resolution last week, forcing delays. Senate Democrats prioritize a short-term CR without concessions, with no whip count signaling imminent passage. Upcoming floor votes and potential conference committee talks could tip odds toward earlier resolution if compromise emerges, or prolong into late April if shutdown brinkmanship escalates ahead of the April 30 funding cliff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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