Polymarket traders price New York City’s median home value at approximately $579,000 on April 1, with market-implied odds favoring 575-580k (48.6%) and 580-585k (36.6%), reflecting anchored sentiment from Zillow’s February 2026 Home Value Index showing a modest 0.3% month-over-month gain to stable levels amid softening dynamics. Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.1% and rising inventory—up 7.9% year-over-year nationally per Realtor.com data, with NYC listings echoing the trend—have capped appreciation, while Redfin reports February median sale prices at $880,000 but longer 72-day market times signal buyer caution. Resolution hinges on Zillow’s imminent March ZHVI release, with minimal shifts expected absent surprises in final-week data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
580 - 585k 43.9%
575 - 580k 41.3%
590 - 595k 2.9%
585 - 590k 2.6%
$15,347 Vol.
$15,347 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
1%
575 - 580k
49%
580 - 585k
37%
585 - 590k
3%
590 - 595k
3%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
580 - 585k 43.9%
575 - 580k 41.3%
590 - 595k 2.9%
585 - 590k 2.6%
$15,347 Vol.
$15,347 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
1%
575 - 580k
49%
580 - 585k
37%
585 - 590k
3%
590 - 595k
3%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price New York City’s median home value at approximately $579,000 on April 1, with market-implied odds favoring 575-580k (48.6%) and 580-585k (36.6%), reflecting anchored sentiment from Zillow’s February 2026 Home Value Index showing a modest 0.3% month-over-month gain to stable levels amid softening dynamics. Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.1% and rising inventory—up 7.9% year-over-year nationally per Realtor.com data, with NYC listings echoing the trend—have capped appreciation, while Redfin reports February median sale prices at $880,000 but longer 72-day market times signal buyer caution. Resolution hinges on Zillow’s imminent March ZHVI release, with minimal shifts expected absent surprises in final-week data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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