Market icon

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

580 - 585k 43.9%

575 - 580k 41.3%

590 - 595k 2.9%

585 - 590k 2.6%

Polymarket

$15,347 Vol.

580 - 585k 43.9%

575 - 580k 41.3%

590 - 595k 2.9%

585 - 590k 2.6%

Polymarket

$15,347 Vol.

<570k

$1,329 Vol.

1%

570 - 575k

$1,012 Vol.

1%

575 - 580k

$1,898 Vol.

49%

580 - 585k

$1,614 Vol.

37%

585 - 590k

$3,918 Vol.

3%

590 - 595k

$2,361 Vol.

3%

595 - 600k

$1,815 Vol.

1%

>600k

$1,400 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Polymarket traders price New York City’s median home value at approximately $579,000 on April 1, with market-implied odds favoring 575-580k (48.6%) and 580-585k (36.6%), reflecting anchored sentiment from Zillow’s February 2026 Home Value Index showing a modest 0.3% month-over-month gain to stable levels amid softening dynamics. Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.1% and rising inventory—up 7.9% year-over-year nationally per Realtor.com data, with NYC listings echoing the trend—have capped appreciation, while Redfin reports February median sale prices at $880,000 but longer 72-day market times signal buyer caution. Resolution hinges on Zillow’s imminent March ZHVI release, with minimal shifts expected absent surprises in final-week data.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Volume
$15,347
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Polymarket traders price New York City’s median home value at approximately $579,000 on April 1, with market-implied odds favoring 575-580k (48.6%) and 580-585k (36.6%), reflecting anchored sentiment from Zillow’s February 2026 Home Value Index showing a modest 0.3% month-over-month gain to stable levels amid softening dynamics. Persistent high mortgage rates near 6.1% and rising inventory—up 7.9% year-over-year nationally per Realtor.com data, with NYC listings echoing the trend—have capped appreciation, while Redfin reports February median sale prices at $880,000 but longer 72-day market times signal buyer caution. Resolution hinges on Zillow’s imminent March ZHVI release, with minimal shifts expected absent surprises in final-week data.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Volume
$15,347
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 575 - 580k » à 49%, suivi de « 580 - 585k » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1? » a généré $15.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1? » est « 575 - 580k » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 580 - 585k » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.