Market icon

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

August 7 100.0%

August 5 <1%

August 6 <1%

August 8 <1%

$2,849,586 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public.

To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,849,586
Date de fin
Aug 15, 2025
Créé le
Aug 4, 2025, 11:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

August 7 100.0%

August 5 <1%

August 6 <1%

August 8 <1%

$2,849,586 Vol.

August 5

$25,790 Vol.

No

August 6

$196,001 Vol.

No

August 7

$1,657,167 Vol.

Yes

August 8

$195,026 Vol.

No

August 9

$126,682 Vol.

No

August 10

$106,430 Vol.

No

August 11

$122,649 Vol.

No

August 12

$103,695 Vol.

No

August 13

$75,210 Vol.

No

August 14

$106,778 Vol.

No

August 15+

$134,157 Vol.

No

À propos

Volume
$2,849,586
Date de fin
Aug 15, 2025
Créé le
Aug 4, 2025, 11:43 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.