Warner Bros. Discovery entered a definitive $111 billion merger agreement with Paramount Skydance on February 27, 2026, after its board deemed the revised all-cash offer superior to rivals, prompting Netflix to withdraw without raising its bid and sidelining Comcast. On March 26, WBD scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23 to approve the transaction, driving trader consensus to 76% odds on Paramount closing by June 30, 2027. The 16% "None" probability reflects antitrust risks from FTC and DOJ review of the media giant consolidation—creating $79 billion in debt—along with integration challenges, though no major competing bids have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourParamount 76%
Aucune avant le 30 juin 2027 16%
Netflix 1.3%
Comcast <1%
$945,579 Vol.
$945,579 Vol.
Paramount
76%
Aucune avant le 30 juin 2027
16%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
<1%
Paramount 76%
Aucune avant le 30 juin 2027 16%
Netflix 1.3%
Comcast <1%
$945,579 Vol.
$945,579 Vol.
Paramount
76%
Aucune avant le 30 juin 2027
16%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Warner Bros. Discovery entered a definitive $111 billion merger agreement with Paramount Skydance on February 27, 2026, after its board deemed the revised all-cash offer superior to rivals, prompting Netflix to withdraw without raising its bid and sidelining Comcast. On March 26, WBD scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23 to approve the transaction, driving trader consensus to 76% odds on Paramount closing by June 30, 2027. The 16% "None" probability reflects antitrust risks from FTC and DOJ review of the media giant consolidation—creating $79 billion in debt—along with integration challenges, though no major competing bids have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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