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Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?

Market icon

Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?

$160,157 Vol.

Mar 8, 2026
Polymarket

$160,157 Vol.

Polymarket

Initiative sur le cash/Contre-projet

$6,245 Vol.

97%

Imposition individuelle

$110,525 Vol.

49%

Initiative SBC

$24,312 Vol.

6%

Initiative pour un fonds climatique

$19,075 Vol.

<1%

Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/):

- Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal
- Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative
- Issue 3: Climate fund initiative
- Issue 4: Individual taxation

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$160,157
Date de fin
Mar 8, 2026
Créé le
Feb 12, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Four referendums will be held on 8 March 2026 (You can read more about that here: www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/popular-vote-on-8-march-2026/): - Issue 1: Cash initiative and counter-proposal - Issue 2: Swiss Broadcasting Corporation (SBC) initiative - Issue 3: Climate fund initiative - Issue 4: Individual taxation This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held on 8 March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Initiative sur le cash/Contre-projet" at 97%, followed by "Imposition individuelle" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?" has generated $160.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?" is "Initiative sur le cash/Contre-projet" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Imposition individuelle" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Référendum suisse de mars : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.