FlightAware data confirms just 245 commercial flight cancellations within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, well below the 500 threshold, driving trader consensus to 99.7% on "No" as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET March 31 using that exact statistic. Absent the severe storms that caused thousands of disruptions earlier in March, routine wind-related delays at East Coast hubs like LaGuardia (75 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare represented typical operational hiccups rather than systemic issues. FAA reports noted potential wind impacts but no ground stops or widespread chaos. Only an unlikely pre-noon data revision by FlightAware could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$1,357 Vol.
$1,357 Vol.
Oui
$1,357 Vol.
$1,357 Vol.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Source de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...FlightAware data confirms just 245 commercial flight cancellations within, into, or out of the United States on March 30, well below the 500 threshold, driving trader consensus to 99.7% on "No" as the market nears resolution at 12:00 PM ET March 31 using that exact statistic. Absent the severe storms that caused thousands of disruptions earlier in March, routine wind-related delays at East Coast hubs like LaGuardia (75 cancellations) and Chicago O'Hare represented typical operational hiccups rather than systemic issues. FAA reports noted potential wind impacts but no ground stops or widespread chaos. Only an unlikely pre-noon data revision by FlightAware could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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