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Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?

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Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?

4,000-4,500 100.0%

<4,000 <1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,525 Vol.

4,000-4,500 100.0%

<4,000 <1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,525 Vol.

<4,000

$457 Vol.

No

4,000-4,500

$955 Vol.

Yes

4,500-5,000

$635 Vol.

No

5,000-5,500

$340 Vol.

No

5,500-6,000

$449 Vol.

No

6,000-6,500

$230 Vol.

No

6,500-7,000

$230 Vol.

No

>7,000

$229 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$3,525
Date de fin
11 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$3,525
Date de fin
11 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of US Flights Delayed April 11? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 4,000-4,500 » à 100%, suivi de « <4,000 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of US Flights Delayed April 11? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 8, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of US Flights Delayed April 11? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of US Flights Delayed April 11? » est « 4,000-4,500 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <4,000 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of US Flights Delayed April 11? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.