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Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Market icon

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Aucun Bond choisi 68%

Callum Turner 19%

Jacob Elordi 3.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,595,918 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi 68%

Callum Turner 19%

Jacob Elordi 3.9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%

Polymarket

$1,595,918 Vol.

Market icon

Aucun Bond choisi

$241,454 Vol.

68%

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Callum Turner

$107,044 Vol.

19%

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Jacob Elordi

$215,789 Vol.

4%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$93,625 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$230,984 Vol.

2%

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Paul Mescal

$86,570 Vol.

2%

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James Norton

$99,367 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$129,336 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$63,531 Vol.

1%

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Theo James

$16,781 Vol.

1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$169,427 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$12,068 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Hardy

$61,704 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$57,780 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$10,457 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled pre-production on Bond 26 amid producer Barbara Broccoli's emphasis on a fresh, younger talent without rushed casting—insiders dismissed big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February. Callum Turner holds second at 18.5% after his odds doubled on Polymarket in early March, fueled by Berlinale buzz and his rising profile in prestige films like Rosebush Pruning, though he dodged confirmation. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) track faded tabloid speculation and competing projects, with historical delays post-Daniel Craig signaling no imminent announcement before mid-2026 amid script work by Steven Knight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,595,918
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled pre-production on Bond 26 amid producer Barbara Broccoli's emphasis on a fresh, younger talent without rushed casting—insiders dismissed big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February. Callum Turner holds second at 18.5% after his odds doubled on Polymarket in early March, fueled by Berlinale buzz and his rising profile in prestige films like Rosebush Pruning, though he dodged confirmation. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) track faded tabloid speculation and competing projects, with historical delays post-Daniel Craig signaling no imminent announcement before mid-2026 amid script work by Steven Knight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,595,918
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 68%, suivi de « Callum Turner » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Callum Turner » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.