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Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Market icon

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Aucun Bond choisi 66%

Callum Turner 14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.4%

Jacob Elordi 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,824,509 Vol.

Aucun Bond choisi 66%

Callum Turner 14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.4%

Jacob Elordi 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,824,509 Vol.

No one announced as next James Bond? icon

Aucun Bond choisi

$250,638 Vol.

66%

Callum Turner annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Callum Turner

$122,333 Vol.

14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$99,019 Vol.

5%

Jacob Elordi annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Jacob Elordi

$236,006 Vol.

4%

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? icon

Henry Cavill

$251,302 Vol.

2%

Theo James annoncé comme prochain James Bond ? icon

Theo James

$26,961 Vol.

1%

James Norton annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

James Norton

$110,954 Vol.

<1%

Paul Mescal annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Paul Mescal

$105,592 Vol.

<1%

Josh O'Connor annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,737 Vol.

<1%

Tom Hardy annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Tom Hardy

$76,096 Vol.

<1%

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? icon

Jack Lowdon

$83,236 Vol.

<1%

Harris Dickinson annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Harris Dickinson

$148,477 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? icon

Pierce Brosnan

$180,265 Vol.

<1%

Tom Holland annoncé comme le prochain James Bond ? icon

Tom Holland

$70,514 Vol.

<1%

James Collier annoncé comme prochain James Bond ? icon

Robert James-Collier

$31,379 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 65.5% implied probability following Amazon MGM Studios head Courtenay Valenti's CinemaCon remarks on April 16, urging patience in the deliberate casting process for Bond 26 under director Denis Villeneuve, with a targeted 2028 release and late-2026 shoot. This reinforces the secretive approach since Daniel Craig's 2021 exit, prioritizing a long-term franchise lead. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 14% amid persistent betting market favoritism and his coy Berlinale response to rumors in February, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's 5.3% reflects enduring speculation from prior producer meetings. Jacob Elordi's 3.5% gains from recent Oscar nomination momentum. Watch for mid-2026 casting updates post-Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,824,509
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at a 65.5% implied probability following Amazon MGM Studios head Courtenay Valenti's CinemaCon remarks on April 16, urging patience in the deliberate casting process for Bond 26 under director Denis Villeneuve, with a targeted 2028 release and late-2026 shoot. This reinforces the secretive approach since Daniel Craig's 2021 exit, prioritizing a long-term franchise lead. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 14% amid persistent betting market favoritism and his coy Berlinale response to rumors in February, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's 5.3% reflects enduring speculation from prior producer meetings. Jacob Elordi's 3.5% gains from recent Oscar nomination momentum. Watch for mid-2026 casting updates post-Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,824,509
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 66%, suivi de « Callum Turner » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 66¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $1.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 66%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Callum Turner » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.