Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a speculated successor, remains in Iran with no verified reports of departure amid heightened regime pressures. The collapse of ally Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria on December 8—ending Iran's key regional foothold—has amplified fears of internal instability, economic collapse, and potential Israeli escalation, reviving unconfirmed rumors of elite exiles circulated on social media. Iranian officials project defiance through state broadcasts of Khamenei's recent speeches, but traders monitor diplomatic fallout, proxy setbacks like Hezbollah losses, and protest flare-ups for signals of flight. No confirmed developments on Khamenei family movements have occurred in the past 30 days; resolution hinges on observable exile by the market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$690,239 Vol.
March 31
1%
April 30
4%
31 mai
10%
30 juin
22%
$690,239 Vol.
March 31
1%
April 30
4%
31 mai
10%
30 juin
22%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, second son of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a speculated successor, remains in Iran with no verified reports of departure amid heightened regime pressures. The collapse of ally Bashar al-Assad's government in Syria on December 8—ending Iran's key regional foothold—has amplified fears of internal instability, economic collapse, and potential Israeli escalation, reviving unconfirmed rumors of elite exiles circulated on social media. Iranian officials project defiance through state broadcasts of Khamenei's recent speeches, but traders monitor diplomatic fallout, proxy setbacks like Hezbollah losses, and protest flare-ups for signals of flight. No confirmed developments on Khamenei family movements have occurred in the past 30 days; resolution hinges on observable exile by the market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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