Lionel Messi's 37.5% implied probability as the 2026 MLS Golden Boot favorite stems from trader consensus on his elite finishing, recent free-kick stunner and multi-goal outings for Inter Miami—including two against Orlando City and one versus New York City FC—bolstering his pedigree as a perennial top scorer despite trailing early leaders. Nashville SC's Sam Surridge tops the charts with seven goals in four matches, including a hat-trick in a 4-0 rout of Orlando City, earning MLS Player of the Month honors for February/March and elevating his 7.1% share. FC Dallas' Petar Musa follows closely at five or six goals, highlighted by his second career hat-trick and Player of the Matchday nod, fueling his 5.2% odds amid a competitive race with Vancouver's Brian White and others tied at five goals. No major injuries disrupt the frontrunners as the regular season unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLionel Messi 38%
Petar Musa 5.2%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Lionel Messi
38%
Petar Musa
5%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Sam Surridge
7%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Germán Berterame
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Evander
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
Lionel Messi 38%
Petar Musa 5.2%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Lionel Messi
38%
Petar Musa
5%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Sam Surridge
7%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Germán Berterame
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Evander
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lionel Messi's 37.5% implied probability as the 2026 MLS Golden Boot favorite stems from trader consensus on his elite finishing, recent free-kick stunner and multi-goal outings for Inter Miami—including two against Orlando City and one versus New York City FC—bolstering his pedigree as a perennial top scorer despite trailing early leaders. Nashville SC's Sam Surridge tops the charts with seven goals in four matches, including a hat-trick in a 4-0 rout of Orlando City, earning MLS Player of the Month honors for February/March and elevating his 7.1% share. FC Dallas' Petar Musa follows closely at five or six goals, highlighted by his second career hat-trick and Player of the Matchday nod, fueling his 5.2% odds amid a competitive race with Vancouver's Brian White and others tied at five goals. No major injuries disrupt the frontrunners as the regular season unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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