Amid escalating US-Iran tensions following late February military strikes, Iran's sports minister declared on March 11 that national teams cannot travel to "hostile" countries like the US, a co-host of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, effectively signaling withdrawal from group stage matches there. FIFA rejected Iran's request to relocate its US-based fixtures to Mexico on March 17, while continuing to monitor developments without imposing a ban. Recent confirmation of the travel prohibition three days ago has intensified doubts over Iran's participation, despite the team qualifying via AFC playoffs. Voluntary forfeiture risks FIFA penalties including future tournament exclusions, leaving resolution uncertain ahead of final prep deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$176,512 Vol.
31 mars
3%
April 30
25%
$176,512 Vol.
31 mars
3%
April 30
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran tensions following late February military strikes, Iran's sports minister declared on March 11 that national teams cannot travel to "hostile" countries like the US, a co-host of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, effectively signaling withdrawal from group stage matches there. FIFA rejected Iran's request to relocate its US-based fixtures to Mexico on March 17, while continuing to monitor developments without imposing a ban. Recent confirmation of the travel prohibition three days ago has intensified doubts over Iran's participation, despite the team qualifying via AFC playoffs. Voluntary forfeiture risks FIFA penalties including future tournament exclusions, leaving resolution uncertain ahead of final prep deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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