India's February 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to a 10-month high of 3.21% year-over-year from 2.75% in January under the new base-2024 series, propelled by rising food and personal care prices alongside West Asia geopolitical tensions threatening oil supplies and posing upside risks. This recent uptick has polarized trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds tightly contested between 4.50%+ annual inflation at 32.0% and 2.25%-2.99% at 30.5%, as bets weigh Reserve Bank of India's dovish FY26 average projection of 2.1%—supported by steady growth and neutral repo rate stance at 5.25%—against potential inflationary pressures nearing the 4% target upper tolerance band. March CPI data, due April 13, represents the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour4,50 % + 37%
2,25 % à 2,99 % 29%
<0,75 % 18%
1,50 % à 2,24 % 13%
$57,217 Vol.
$57,217 Vol.
12 janv. 2027
<0,75 %
18%
0,75 % à 1,49 %
7%
1,50 % à 2,24 %
15%
2,25 % à 2,99 %
29%
3,00 % à 3,74 %
10%
3,75 % à 4,49 %
13%
4,50 % +
37%
4,50 % + 37%
2,25 % à 2,99 % 29%
<0,75 % 18%
1,50 % à 2,24 % 13%
$57,217 Vol.
$57,217 Vol.
12 janv. 2027
<0,75 %
$568 Vol.
18%
0,75 % à 1,49 %
$271 Vol.
7%
1,50 % à 2,24 %
$340 Vol.
15%
2,25 % à 2,99 %
$22,328 Vol.
29%
3,00 % à 3,74 %
$341 Vol.
10%
3,75 % à 4,49 %
$22,735 Vol.
13%
4,50 % +
$10,633 Vol.
37%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's February 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to a 10-month high of 3.21% year-over-year from 2.75% in January under the new base-2024 series, propelled by rising food and personal care prices alongside West Asia geopolitical tensions threatening oil supplies and posing upside risks. This recent uptick has polarized trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds tightly contested between 4.50%+ annual inflation at 32.0% and 2.25%-2.99% at 30.5%, as bets weigh Reserve Bank of India's dovish FY26 average projection of 2.1%—supported by steady growth and neutral repo rate stance at 5.25%—against potential inflationary pressures nearing the 4% target upper tolerance band. March CPI data, due April 13, represents the key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$57,217Date de fin
12 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's February 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to a 10-month high of 3.21% year-over-year from 2.75% in January under the new base-2024 series, propelled by rising food and personal care prices alongside West Asia geopolitical tensions threatening oil supplies and posing upside risks. This recent uptick has polarized trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds tightly contested between 4.50%+ annual inflation at 32.0% and 2.25%-2.99% at 30.5%, as bets weigh Reserve Bank of India's dovish FY26 average projection of 2.1%—supported by steady growth and neutral repo rate stance at 5.25%—against potential inflationary pressures nearing the 4% target upper tolerance band. March CPI data, due April 13, represents the key near-term catalyst.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$57,217Date de fin
12 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's February 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to a 10-month high of 3.21% year-over-year from 2.75% in January under the new base-2024 series, propelled by rising food and personal care prices alongside West Asia geopolitical tensions threatening oil supplies and posing upside risks. This recent uptick has polarized trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds tightly contested between 4.50%+ annual inflation at 32.0% and 2.25%-2.99% at 30.5%, as bets weigh Reserve Bank of India's dovish FY26 average projection of 2.1%—supported by steady growth and neutral repo rate stance at 5.25%—against potential inflationary pressures nearing the 4% target upper tolerance band. March CPI data, due April 13, represents the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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