Market icon

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

Market icon

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

avr. 3

avr. 3

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99.6%

Project Hail Mary <1%

Hoppers <1%

The Drama <1%

Polymarket

$41,431 Vol.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99.6%

Project Hail Mary <1%

Hoppers <1%

The Drama <1%

Polymarket

$41,431 Vol.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$31,175 Vol.

100%

Project Hail Mary

$4,987 Vol.

<1%

Hoppers

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$1,815 Vol.

<1%

A Great Awakening

$1,741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's market-implied 99.7% odds as the highest grossing film for the April 3 weekend stem from its record-shattering launch, including $34 million on Wednesday previews—the best April opening day ever—followed by $24.6 million Thursday and a dominant $48.3 million Friday, projecting $129-150 million for the three-day frame amid Easter family turnout. This eclipses holdover Project Hail Mary ($10.4 million Friday, eyeing $33 million weekend in week three) and new releases like A24's indie The Drama or faith-based A Great Awakening, which lack broad tentpole appeal. Trader consensus reflects Universal's animated sequel riding 2023 Super Mario Bros. momentum, with upset scenarios limited to unprecedented Saturday/Sunday collapses, defying tracking precedents. Final tallies lock Sunday.

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$41,431
Date de fin
3 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's market-implied 99.7% odds as the highest grossing film for the April 3 weekend stem from its record-shattering launch, including $34 million on Wednesday previews—the best April opening day ever—followed by $24.6 million Thursday and a dominant $48.3 million Friday, projecting $129-150 million for the three-day frame amid Easter family turnout. This eclipses holdover Project Hail Mary ($10.4 million Friday, eyeing $33 million weekend in week three) and new releases like A24's indie The Drama or faith-based A Great Awakening, which lack broad tentpole appeal. Trader consensus reflects Universal's animated sequel riding 2023 Super Mario Bros. momentum, with upset scenarios limited to unprecedented Saturday/Sunday collapses, defying tracking precedents. Final tallies lock Sunday.

This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$41,431
Date de fin
3 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of April 3 - 5. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 3 - 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « The Super Mario Galaxy Movie » à 100%, suivi de « Project Hail Mary » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3) » a généré $41.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 30, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3) », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3) » est « The Super Mario Galaxy Movie » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Project Hail Mary » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.