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Élections·Primaire Républicaine

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Élections·Primaire Républicaine

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 39%

Alexandra Van Cleef 23%

Dan Bilzerian 19%

Aaron Baker 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Randy Fine 39%

Alexandra Van Cleef 23%

Dan Bilzerian 19%

Aaron Baker 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Randy Fine

$153 Vol.

39%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$141 Vol.

23%

Dan Bilzerian

$89 Vol.

19%

Aaron Baker

$99 Vol.

14%

Joshua Vasquez

$92 Vol.

3%

Charles Gambaro

$70 Vol.

1%

Ernest Audino

$89 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine holds a slim trader consensus lead over challenger Dan Bilzerian in the FL-06 Republican primary, reflecting Bilzerian's high-profile candidacy filing in early April that has energized outsider support through his social media fame and provocative announcements targeting Fine. Fine benefits from incumbency after winning the 2025 special election, prior Trump endorsement, and strong fundraising, but lacks recent polling to solidify dominance in this safely Republican district stretching from Daytona Beach to Ocala. The tight race underscores GOP tensions between establishment experience and celebrity appeal; separation could come from major endorsements like Trump or DeSantis, Q1 FEC reports due soon, or early primary endorsements from local party leaders ahead of the August 18 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$735
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine holds a slim trader consensus lead over challenger Dan Bilzerian in the FL-06 Republican primary, reflecting Bilzerian's high-profile candidacy filing in early April that has energized outsider support through his social media fame and provocative announcements targeting Fine. Fine benefits from incumbency after winning the 2025 special election, prior Trump endorsement, and strong fundraising, but lacks recent polling to solidify dominance in this safely Republican district stretching from Daytona Beach to Ocala. The tight race underscores GOP tensions between establishment experience and celebrity appeal; separation could come from major endorsements like Trump or DeSantis, Q1 FEC reports due soon, or early primary endorsements from local party leaders ahead of the August 18 vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$735
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Randy Fine » à 39%, suivi de « Ernest Audino » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » est « Randy Fine » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ernest Audino » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.