Belgium holds a commanding 68% implied probability as Group G favorite in the FIFA World Cup 2026, driven by their top-10 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—including a playoff win over Ukraine—and squad depth featuring stars like Kevin De Bruyne, despite Romelu Lukaku's recent fitness issues prompting his withdrawal from March warm-ups and ongoing Napoli tensions. Egypt trails at 19.5% on Mohamed Salah's leadership and strong African qualification, though traders factored in his brief hamstring absence from late-March internationals, now resolved. Iran's 4.7% reflects defensive solidity from AFC playoffs amid venue uncertainty for their opener versus New Zealand in Los Angeles, with diplomatic talks ongoing but FIFA insisting on U.S. hosting. New Zealand's 2.6% underscores their 85th ranking as Oceania's underdog.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBelgique 68%
Égypte 20%
Iran 4.7%
Nouvelle-Zélande 2.7%
$27,141 Vol.
$27,141 Vol.
Belgique
68%
Égypte
20%
Iran
5%
Nouvelle-Zélande
3%
Belgique 68%
Égypte 20%
Iran 4.7%
Nouvelle-Zélande 2.7%
$27,141 Vol.
$27,141 Vol.
Belgique
68%
Égypte
20%
Iran
5%
Nouvelle-Zélande
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Belgium holds a commanding 68% implied probability as Group G favorite in the FIFA World Cup 2026, driven by their top-10 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—including a playoff win over Ukraine—and squad depth featuring stars like Kevin De Bruyne, despite Romelu Lukaku's recent fitness issues prompting his withdrawal from March warm-ups and ongoing Napoli tensions. Egypt trails at 19.5% on Mohamed Salah's leadership and strong African qualification, though traders factored in his brief hamstring absence from late-March internationals, now resolved. Iran's 4.7% reflects defensive solidity from AFC playoffs amid venue uncertainty for their opener versus New Zealand in Los Angeles, with diplomatic talks ongoing but FIFA insisting on U.S. hosting. New Zealand's 2.6% underscores their 85th ranking as Oceania's underdog.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes