Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate trader sentiment, driving WTI crude futures for the June contract to levels near $95 and pushing the implied probability of settlement above $84 to 71%. Major Middle East producers have curtailed roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of output, resulting in sharp inventory draws and supporting elevated prices despite modest OPEC+ production adjustments and the UAE’s exit from the cartel. Recent EIA data confirm tightening balances through the second quarter, with market-implied odds reflecting limited near-term relief from supply constraints even as global demand growth forecasts have been revised modestly lower. Upcoming catalysts include the next EIA inventory report and any progress in diplomatic talks that could ease shipping disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÀ quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
À quoi le pétrole brut (CL) se stabilisera-t-il en juin ?
>84 $ 71%
77 $–84 $ 17%
70 $ - 77 $ 8.1%
63 $-70 $ 2.4%
$161,049 Vol.
$161,049 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
1%
42 $-49 $
<1%
49 $–56 $
1%
56 $-63 $
2%
63 $-70 $
2%
70 $ - 77 $
8%
77 $–84 $
17%
>84 $
71%
>84 $ 71%
77 $–84 $ 17%
70 $ - 77 $ 8.1%
63 $-70 $ 2.4%
$161,049 Vol.
$161,049 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<42 $
$17,182 Vol.
1%
42 $-49 $
$5,944 Vol.
<1%
49 $–56 $
$7,122 Vol.
1%
56 $-63 $
$7,223 Vol.
2%
63 $-70 $
$20,833 Vol.
2%
70 $ - 77 $
$12,440 Vol.
8%
77 $–84 $
$13,714 Vol.
17%
>84 $
$76,591 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate trader sentiment, driving WTI crude futures for the June contract to levels near $95 and pushing the implied probability of settlement above $84 to 71%. Major Middle East producers have curtailed roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of output, resulting in sharp inventory draws and supporting elevated prices despite modest OPEC+ production adjustments and the UAE’s exit from the cartel. Recent EIA data confirm tightening balances through the second quarter, with market-implied odds reflecting limited near-term relief from supply constraints even as global demand growth forecasts have been revised modestly lower. Upcoming catalysts include the next EIA inventory report and any progress in diplomatic talks that could ease shipping disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$161,049Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate trader sentiment, driving WTI crude futures for the June contract to levels near $95 and pushing the implied probability of settlement above $84 to 71%. Major Middle East producers have curtailed roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of output, resulting in sharp inventory draws and supporting elevated prices despite modest OPEC+ production adjustments and the UAE’s exit from the cartel. Recent EIA data confirm tightening balances through the second quarter, with market-implied odds reflecting limited near-term relief from supply constraints even as global demand growth forecasts have been revised modestly lower. Upcoming catalysts include the next EIA inventory report and any progress in diplomatic talks that could ease shipping disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$161,049Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate trader sentiment, driving WTI crude futures for the June contract to levels near $95 and pushing the implied probability of settlement above $84 to 71%. Major Middle East producers have curtailed roughly 10.5 million barrels per day of output, resulting in sharp inventory draws and supporting elevated prices despite modest OPEC+ production adjustments and the UAE’s exit from the cartel. Recent EIA data confirm tightening balances through the second quarter, with market-implied odds reflecting limited near-term relief from supply constraints even as global demand growth forecasts have been revised modestly lower. Upcoming catalysts include the next EIA inventory report and any progress in diplomatic talks that could ease shipping disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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