Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the 2026 Masters winner at Augusta National, reflecting his two green jackets (2022, 2024), four straight top-10 finishes here, and elite strokes gained approach, par-5 scoring, and scrambling suited to the course's demands. His recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for non-injury reasons allows extra rest ahead of Thursday's tee times, bolstering his edge despite a solid but not dominant 2026 start (one win, multiple top-10s). Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV victories, including a playoff win over Jon Rahm, with improved Augusta form; Rahm (7.3%) leverages his 2023 title and LIV points lead; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, eyes a repeat amid strong major history. The wide field favors precision over power, with weather and late cuts as key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,025,368 Vol.
$61,025,368 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,025,368 Vol.
$61,025,368 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the 2026 Masters winner at Augusta National, reflecting his two green jackets (2022, 2024), four straight top-10 finishes here, and elite strokes gained approach, par-5 scoring, and scrambling suited to the course's demands. His recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for non-injury reasons allows extra rest ahead of Thursday's tee times, bolstering his edge despite a solid but not dominant 2026 start (one win, multiple top-10s). Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV victories, including a playoff win over Jon Rahm, with improved Augusta form; Rahm (7.3%) leverages his 2023 title and LIV points lead; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, eyes a repeat amid strong major history. The wide field favors precision over power, with weather and late cuts as key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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