Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in seven starts, and top-tier par-5 scoring and scrambling—anchors trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field for the 2026 Masters. Recent LIV dominance propels Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) with back-to-back wins and improved finishes at the major, while past champion Jon Rahm (7.4%) leverages strong strokes gained tee-to-green stats. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a repeat after completing his career Grand Slam in 2025, backed by eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses with early Augusta affinity, but no major injuries or withdrawals alter the competitive landscape as the 88-player invitation-only field finalizes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,085,429 Vol.
$61,085,429 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,085,429 Vol.
$61,085,429 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in seven starts, and top-tier par-5 scoring and scrambling—anchors trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field for the 2026 Masters. Recent LIV dominance propels Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) with back-to-back wins and improved finishes at the major, while past champion Jon Rahm (7.4%) leverages strong strokes gained tee-to-green stats. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a repeat after completing his career Grand Slam in 2025, backed by eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters. Rising Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses with early Augusta affinity, but no major injuries or withdrawals alter the competitive landscape as the 88-player invitation-only field finalizes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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