Alexander Zverev has surged to the top of trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability after pre-tournament favorite Jannik Sinner’s second-round exit cleared the draw at Roland Garros. The German, a three-time Grand Slam finalist yet to claim a major title, enters the quarterfinals as the highest remaining seed with proven clay-court pedigree and a favorable path against less experienced opponents. Felix Auger-Aliassime sits at 10.4% after reaching his fifth major quarterfinal, capitalizing on strong recent form and net-rushing ability on the slow surface. Flavio Cobolli holds 10.2% following his first Roland Garros quarterfinal appearance as the tenth seed, bolstered by consistent clay results and steady performances through four rounds. These developments have reshaped the field in the tournament’s later stages, with the wisdom of crowds reflecting Zverev’s experience edge while acknowledging realistic upset potential from the younger contenders still advancing.