The 2026 World Cup features an exceptionally tight race at the top because Spain, France, England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina all enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament experience, and strong recent form across UEFA Nations League and qualifying campaigns. Spain and France sit as near co-favorites due to their balanced attacks, defensive organization, and fresh momentum from recent successes, while England benefits from Premier League talent but carries historical knockout pressure. South American sides Brazil and Argentina retain star power and resilience, and Portugal adds attacking flair. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities by rewarding consistency over any single standout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 17.0%
France 16.7%
Angleterre 11.2%
Portugal 10.3%
$1,284,653,810 Vol.
$1,284,653,810 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
Espagne
17%
France
17%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
10%
Brésil
9%
Argentine
9%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
3%
Japon
2%
Colombie
2%
Belgique
2%
Maroc
1%
Suisse
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexique
1%
Équateur
1%
Croatie
1%
Turquie
1%
Sénégal
1%
Autriche
1%
Suède
1%
Canada
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 17.0%
France 16.7%
Angleterre 11.2%
Portugal 10.3%
$1,284,653,810 Vol.
$1,284,653,810 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
Espagne
$25,508,682 Vol.
17%
France
$31,765,468 Vol.
17%
Angleterre
$21,140,293 Vol.
11%
Portugal
$25,792,543 Vol.
10%
Brésil
$22,901,249 Vol.
9%
Argentine
$22,620,719 Vol.
9%
Allemagne
$21,723,687 Vol.
5%
Pays-Bas
$24,495,843 Vol.
4%
Norvège
$25,832,089 Vol.
3%
Japon
$27,810,111 Vol.
2%
Colombie
$21,231,936 Vol.
2%
Belgique
$21,161,179 Vol.
2%
Maroc
$27,668,536 Vol.
1%
Suisse
$23,861,237 Vol.
1%
États-Unis
$40,048,308 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$22,070,093 Vol.
1%
Mexique
$26,108,760 Vol.
1%
Équateur
$28,896,395 Vol.
1%
Croatie
$28,807,226 Vol.
1%
Turquie
$17,705,238 Vol.
1%
Sénégal
$24,257,254 Vol.
1%
Autriche
$29,181,121 Vol.
1%
Suède
$15,716,220 Vol.
1%
Canada
$29,151,763 Vol.
<1%
Corée du Sud
$31,784,179 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$24,021,408 Vol.
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
$13,666,139 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$25,720,523 Vol.
<1%
Écosse
$29,926,435 Vol.
<1%
Côte d'Ivoire
$31,720,721 Vol.
<1%
Tchéquie
$12,236,900 Vol.
<1%
Égypte
$29,728,560 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$31,861,127 Vol.
<1%
Algérie
$26,525,013 Vol.
<1%
Tunisie
$27,691,976 Vol.
<1%
RD Congo
$26,708,287 Vol.
<1%
Australie
$28,886,119 Vol.
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
$35,127,849 Vol.
<1%
Haïti
$20,083,330 Vol.
<1%
Jordanie
$30,415,171 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$40,369,627 Vol.
<1%
Ouzbékistan
$47,539,254 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$17,500,578 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$16,487,111 Vol.
<1%
Afrique du Sud
$33,177,094 Vol.
<1%
Cape Verde
$27,529,508 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$29,244,156 Vol.
<1%
Arabie saoudite
$32,326,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup features an exceptionally tight race at the top because Spain, France, England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina all enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament experience, and strong recent form across UEFA Nations League and qualifying campaigns. Spain and France sit as near co-favorites due to their balanced attacks, defensive organization, and fresh momentum from recent successes, while England benefits from Premier League talent but carries historical knockout pressure. South American sides Brazil and Argentina retain star power and resilience, and Portugal adds attacking flair. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities by rewarding consistency over any single standout.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,284,653,810Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup features an exceptionally tight race at the top because Spain, France, England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina all enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament experience, and strong recent form across UEFA Nations League and qualifying campaigns. Spain and France sit as near co-favorites due to their balanced attacks, defensive organization, and fresh momentum from recent successes, while England benefits from Premier League talent but carries historical knockout pressure. South American sides Brazil and Argentina retain star power and resilience, and Portugal adds attacking flair. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities by rewarding consistency over any single standout.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,284,653,810Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 World Cup features an exceptionally tight race at the top because Spain, France, England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina all enter with elite squad depth, proven tournament experience, and strong recent form across UEFA Nations League and qualifying campaigns. Spain and France sit as near co-favorites due to their balanced attacks, defensive organization, and fresh momentum from recent successes, while England benefits from Premier League talent but carries historical knockout pressure. South American sides Brazil and Argentina retain star power and resilience, and Portugal adds attacking flair. The expanded 48-team format and group-stage structure further compress probabilities by rewarding consistency over any single standout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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