France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 100.0%
Nouvelle-Zélande <1%
Suisse <1%
Angleterre <1%
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
Espagne
Oui
Nouvelle-Zélande
Non
Suisse
Non
Angleterre
Non
France
Non
Corée du Sud
Non
Haïti
Non
Brésil
Non
Jordanie
Non
Curaçao
Non
Argentine
Non
Allemagne
Non
Colombie
Non
Iran
Non
Portugal
Non
Ghana
Non
Pays-Bas
Non
Algérie
Non
Bosnie-Herzégovine
Non
Italie
Non
États-Unis
Non
Canada
Non
Turquie
Non
Uruguay
Non
Mexique
Non
Paraguay
Non
Écosse
Non
Pérou
Non
Japon
Non
Norvège
Non
Tunisie
Non
Équateur
Non
Ouzbékistan
Non
Maroc
Non
Panama
Non
Irak
Non
Afrique du Sud
Non
Sénégal
Non
Côte d'Ivoire
Non
RD Congo
Non
Cape Verde
Non
Tchéquie
Non
Qatar
Non
Belgique
Non
Australie
Non
Arabie saoudite
Non
Autriche
Non
Croatie
Non
Égypte
Non
Suède
Non
Espagne 100.0%
Nouvelle-Zélande <1%
Suisse <1%
Angleterre <1%
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
Espagne
Oui
Nouvelle-Zélande
Non
Suisse
Non
Angleterre
Non
France
Non
Corée du Sud
Non
Haïti
Non
Brésil
Non
Jordanie
Non
Curaçao
Non
Argentine
Non
Allemagne
Non
Colombie
Non
Iran
Non
Portugal
Non
Ghana
Non
Pays-Bas
Non
Algérie
Non
Bosnie-Herzégovine
Non
Italie
Non
États-Unis
Non
Canada
Non
Turquie
Non
Uruguay
Non
Mexique
Non
Paraguay
Non
Écosse
Non
Pérou
Non
Japon
Non
Norvège
Non
Tunisie
Non
Équateur
Non
Ouzbékistan
Non
Maroc
Non
Panama
Non
Irak
Non
Afrique du Sud
Non
Sénégal
Non
Côte d'Ivoire
Non
RD Congo
Non
Cape Verde
Non
Tchéquie
Non
Qatar
Non
Belgique
Non
Australie
Non
Arabie saoudite
Non
Autriche
Non
Croatie
Non
Égypte
Non
Suède
Non
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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