The bunched probabilities among Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane at the top reflect their roles as primary penalty takers for France and England, supported by consistent club scoring through late May and relatively favorable group paths. Erling Haaland sits just behind on the strength of Manchester City output and Norway’s qualification momentum, while Spain’s depth elevates Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal. Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo retain market share as potential final-tournament performers, though age and squad reliance widen their spreads. Recent hamstring concerns for Mbappé and season-ending issues for Yamal introduce limited uncertainty without derailing their candidacies, keeping the race open among a deep field of proven international finishers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : Meilleur buteur
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$361,107 Vol.
$361,107 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$361,107 Vol.
$361,107 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The bunched probabilities among Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane at the top reflect their roles as primary penalty takers for France and England, supported by consistent club scoring through late May and relatively favorable group paths. Erling Haaland sits just behind on the strength of Manchester City output and Norway’s qualification momentum, while Spain’s depth elevates Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal. Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo retain market share as potential final-tournament performers, though age and squad reliance widen their spreads. Recent hamstring concerns for Mbappé and season-ending issues for Yamal introduce limited uncertainty without derailing their candidacies, keeping the race open among a deep field of proven international finishers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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