Oklahoma City Thunder's league-best 60-16 record, clinched Northwest Division title, and 9-1 mark over their last 10 games—capped by a recent overtime win over the top-seeded Pistons—have solidified their 37.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for the 2026 NBA Championship, driven by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's league-leading win shares and a deep young roster with home-court edge through playoffs starting April 18. San Antonio Spurs trail closely at 16.9% after clinching the Southwest Division on a franchise-record 9-game win streak, fueled by Victor Wembanyama's sophomore dominance amid minimal injuries. Boston Celtics hold third at 11.5% with a secure No. 2 East seed despite recent losses like to the Hawks without Jayson Tatum, while Denver Nuggets' 8.5% reflects Nikola Jokić's Player of the Week honors and 6-game streak despite No. 4 West positioning. Lower odds for East leaders like Pistons (3.5%) highlight doubts over their playoff inexperience versus West firepower.