Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner share identical 36% implied probabilities as Wimbledon 2026 favorites, mirroring their atop ATP rankings and fierce rivalry on grass courts, where Sinner dethroned the two-time defending champion Alcaraz in the 2025 final. Both entered the year in peak form—Alcaraz capturing the Australian Open title and posting a 90.8% service hold rate early on, while Sinner claimed the Sunshine Double with Indian Wells and Miami Masters 1000 victories in March 2026. Djokovic's odds have slipped to 7.2% amid right shoulder injury withdrawals from Miami and Monte Carlo, underscoring the duo's youth, momentum, and surface prowess keeping the market tightly contested ahead of grass preparations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCarlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,589,634 Vol.
$2,589,634 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,589,634 Vol.
$2,589,634 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner share identical 36% implied probabilities as Wimbledon 2026 favorites, mirroring their atop ATP rankings and fierce rivalry on grass courts, where Sinner dethroned the two-time defending champion Alcaraz in the 2025 final. Both entered the year in peak form—Alcaraz capturing the Australian Open title and posting a 90.8% service hold rate early on, while Sinner claimed the Sunshine Double with Indian Wells and Miami Masters 1000 victories in March 2026. Djokovic's odds have slipped to 7.2% amid right shoulder injury withdrawals from Miami and Monte Carlo, underscoring the duo's youth, momentum, and surface prowess keeping the market tightly contested ahead of grass preparations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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