Turkish opposition figure Özgür Özel faces no active detention proceedings or arrest warrant tied to the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting traders' 97.7% consensus on "No." A May 2026 court ruling annulled his 2023 CHP leadership election and named Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu interim leader, prompting related detentions of other party members over congress irregularities, yet Özel remains publicly active, issuing statements and directing resignations to force an extraordinary congress. Prior 2025 probes into alleged insults against officials produced no custody. The compressed timeline and absence of fresh enforcement signals reinforce the view that arrest is improbable absent abrupt new charges or political escalation, though targeted judicial moves before month-end could still shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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