Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?
30+ Years 100.0%
No Prison Time <1%
<5 Years <1%
5–10 Years <1%
$4,424,576 Vol.
$4,424,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Prison Time
No
<5 Years
No
5–10 Years
No
10–15 Years
No
15–20 Years
No
20–30 Years
No
30+ Years
Yes
30+ Years 100.0%
No Prison Time <1%
<5 Years <1%
5–10 Years <1%
$4,424,576 Vol.
$4,424,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Prison Time
$946,022 Vol.
No
<5 Years
$617,105 Vol.
No
5–10 Years
$601,201 Vol.
No
10–15 Years
$464,919 Vol.
No
15–20 Years
$569,899 Vol.
No
20–30 Years
$484,857 Vol.
No
30+ Years
$740,573 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Dec 1, 2025, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,424,576End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Dec 1, 2025, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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