Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?
$14,306 Vol.
30+ Years 80%
No Prison Time 7.1%
20–30 Years 6%
10–15 Years 5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
No Prison Time
$5,140 Vol.
7%
No Prison Time
$5,140 Vol.
7%
<5 Years
$1,158 Vol.
1%
<5 Years
$1,158 Vol.
1%
5–10 Years
$1,954 Vol.
3%
5–10 Years
$1,954 Vol.
3%
10–15 Years
$1,154 Vol.
5%
10–15 Years
$1,154 Vol.
5%
15–20 Years
$2,015 Vol.
3%
15–20 Years
$2,015 Vol.
3%
20–30 Years
$1,558 Vol.
6%
20–30 Years
$1,558 Vol.
6%
30+ Years
$1,328 Vol.
80%
30+ Years
$1,328 Vol.
80%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Dec 1, 2025, 11:56 PM
Volume
$14,306End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Dec 1, 2025, 11:56 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$14,306 Vol.
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?
30+ Years 80%
No Prison Time 7.1%
20–30 Years 6%
10–15 Years 5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
No Prison Time
$5,140 Vol.
7%
<5 Years
$1,158 Vol.
1%
5–10 Years
$1,954 Vol.
3%
10–15 Years
$1,154 Vol.
5%
15–20 Years
$2,015 Vol.
3%
20–30 Years
$1,558 Vol.
6%
30+ Years
$1,328 Vol.
80%
About
Volume
$14,306End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Dec 1, 2025, 11:56 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...



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